Are we on the verge of bringing forecasting of meteorological precision to military and counter-terrorism operations ? Wired Magazine speculates:
In a paper published last week in Science, researchers present an equation to describe how fatal attacks escalate – whether it’s a suicide bombing in Lebanon or an insurgent attack in Kabul. “The way in which those attacks occur as time goes on has a particular mathematical form,” says physicist Neil Johnson of the University of Miami, Florida, who led the study. That form, associated with everything from puzzle solving to ship building, is a progress or learning curve: the more you do something, the better (and quicker) you get. In this case, it’s the insurgents who are doing the learning.
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